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Business // Thursday, November 20, 2008 Print Article Email To Friend(s) Feedback Text Larger Text Smaller One Column Two Columns  
Yen, dollar gain as more market turmoil erupts
Time is GMT + 8 hours
Posted: 20-Nov-2008 06:28 hrs
Bundles of one dollar bills at the Bureau of Engraving and Printing in Washington, DC. The dollar recouped early losses and traded mainly higher Wednesday, shaking off a record plunge in US consumer prices, as currency traders flocked to safety amid renewed turmoil in financial markets.
 
 
The dollar recouped early losses and traded mainly higher Wednesday, shaking off a record plunge in US consumer prices, as currency traders flocked to safety amid renewed turmoil in financial markets.
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Analysts said the steep falls in global stock markets and worries about a downward spiral in the global economy prompted a rush into the US and Japanese currencies despite weak data from the United States.
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The euro dipped to 1.2508 dollars at 2100 GMT, after jumping as high as 1.2748 dollars, and compared with 1.2621 dollars in New York late on Tuesday.
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The dollar fell to 95.77 yen from 96.89 yen on Tuesday.
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"If risk aversion remains the underlying market theme accordingly, then we may expect the yen to stand out as its major beneficiary in the foreign exchange markets -- which presents a rather problematic situation for the Japanese," said Neil Mellor at Bank of New York Mellon.
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Andrew Busch at BMO Capital Markets noted that the dollar is not far behind in benefitting from safe-haven flows, amid fears of a devastating global deflationary environment.
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"Currency markets are still vacillating in ranges with US dollar benefiting from the extremely negative psychological environment," he said.
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"However, the moves are muted compared to what we've experienced over the last two months."
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Highlighting fears about a weak economy and deflation, the US consumer price index (CPI) plunged 1.0 percent in October -- the steepest one-month fall since the data was first published in 1947.
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Slower inflation gives the Fed more room to lower US interest rates even further to try to ward off a deep recession. Normally lower rates would make a currency less attractive, but the financial turmoil has shifted the outlook for many.
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Even with the federal funds rate at a record low of 1.0 percent, some Fed members see even more rate cuts to help revive a moribund economy, according to minutes released from last month's policy meeting.
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Some Fed members "suggested that additional policy easing could well be appropriate at future meetings," the minutes showed.
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"In any event, the committee agreed that it would take whatever steps were necessary to support the recovery of the economy."
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Meanwhile, markets were closely watching developments in the car sector as the heads of the Big Three US automakers -- General Motors, Ford and Chrysler -- appeal to Congress for loans to prevent their industry from collapsing.
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Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson had on Tuesday indicated unwillingness to allocate funds from a financial sector bailout to the manufacturing sector.
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"The troubled US automotive industry poses a large economic and potentially systemic risk, so a lack of a rescue plan is bad news for risky assets in the near term," Barclays Capital analysts said in a research note on Wednesday.
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Elsewhere, the British pound was steady on news that Bank of England policymakers voted 9-0 to slash British interest rates by a third to 3.00 percent, the lowest level in more than half a century, according to minutes of their November 6 meeting.
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Economists saw the deep 1.25 point rate cut as a sign of a deep recession ahead for Britain.
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In late New York trade, the dollar stood at 1.2119 Swiss francs after 1.2026 Tuesday.
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The pound was at 1.4960 dollars after 1.4963. — AFP

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